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Darwinism: Science or Philosophy
Chapter 11a
Response to Arthur M. Shapiro
X Does implicate Y: implication and
Entailment in the Creation-Evolution Debate
William A. Dembski
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This paper is a response to a presented paper.
Original author's comments on this response.
ARTHUR SHAPIRO HAS JUST argued that X does not entail Y, where X is biological
evolution of the Darwinian or neo-Darwinian stripe, and Y is any particular position on
the ultimate origins of life or the universe. To this I offer a hearty Amen. But I also
ask, So what?
As a mathematician I've had plenty of experience in the logic of entailment-every theorem
is entailed by some relevant set of mathematical axioms As a philosopher who works in the
logic of conditionals, I'm aware how entailment works outside mathematical contexts.
Entailment is the strongest logical connection by far. To say that X entails Y is to say
that it's impossible for X to be true and Y false. Alternatively, Y is necessary given X.
Thus, to say that X does not entail Y is to say that it is possible for X to be true and Y
false. But since Shapiro leaves Y completely open-ended on the questions of origins, to
say that biological evolution does not entail any account of origins, be it theistic,
materialistic, or whatever, is simply to say that biological evolution is logically
compatible with any number of positions on the origin of life and the universe.
Given what is meant by logical entailment-and this is the sense in which Shapiro is using
it-I must agree with his claim. Moreover, Shapiro's claim has empirical support:
individuals with widely divergent views on origins have made their peace with, or (if you
will) have surrendered to, neo-Darwinism. Certainly this is true of "scientistic atheists"
like Will Provine. But it is also true of notable theists like Richard Swinburne, who even
when writing on teleology and design admits the central claims of neo-Darwinism:
Complex animals and plants can be produced through generation by
less complex animals and plants . . . and simple animals and plants can be
produced by natural processes from inorganic matter.{1}
Suffice it to say, there is no logical impossibility reconciling neo-Darwinism
with a host of philosophical positions on origins.
So what? Suppose I place Al and Bob in a room, lock it, reopen it an hour later only to
find Al lying on the floor in a pool of blood, with Bob standing over him holding a
smoking gun. Denote this scenario by X. Let Y denote the claim that Bob shot Al. Does X
entail Y? Well, no. Al may have been suicidal and shot himself. Bob tried to prevent this
and is now holding the gun which he was too late in taking away from Al. Suppose, however,
we know that Bob and Al are mortal enemies, and that Al has no suicidal tendencies. With
this background knowledge, does X entail Y? Again the answer is No. There might
be a trap door in the room. Perhaps an enemy of both Al and Bob used the trap door to
enter the room, shoot Al, and then place the gun in Bob's hand so as to frame Bob.
If this story appears fanciful, if I appear to be veering from the path of common sense,
it is because the logic of entailment cannot distinguish between the banal, the bizarre,
and the ridiculous. It can distinguish only between the possible and the impossible. The
circumstantial evidence for Bob's killing Al may be excellent if a video camera in the
room happens to record Bob shooting Al, there will even be direct evidence for Bob
shooting Al. But no amount of empirical evidence will entail Bob shooting Al.
Bob's double might actually have shot Al. Bob's enemy might have rigged the video camera
so that it only appears that Bob shot Al. I am not suggesting that our reason for
believing that Bob shot Al becomes inferior because no evidence can entail this claim.
Entailment is simply too strong a logical notion to apply in most matters of fact. In
particular, it is the wrong philosophical tool for investigating the relation between
Darwinism and origins.
It is here that Shapiro and I part company. Shapiro argues, and I quote,
Biological evolution is no more inconsistent with religion than
are other sciences, and . . . the attacks on it specifically are best
understood in sociological and political, not philosophical,
terms.
Philosophy has a lot more to say about the relation between biological evolution and world
views than Shapiro is willing to admit. To move from entailment to sociology is simply too
abrupt a leap. It is more than a sociological fact that, and I quote Shapiro, "the
phenomenal growth of science in the last few centuries has been largely at the expense of
religion. By concentrating on entailment and jumping from there to sociology, Shapiro has
ignored the epistemological question of what implications exist between Darwinism and
religion.
In philosophy, implication is a more general notion than entailment. The scenario of Al
and Bob locked in a room together with some appropriate background assumptions would
implicate that Bob had murdered Al, but it wouldn't entail that Bob had murdered Al.
Implication includes entailment, and therefore addresses questions of possibility and
necessity. But implication also addresses questions of uncertainty, partial evidence, and
probability. X can implicate Y without X having to force Y to be true under all possible
circumstances. X can implicate Y. X can be true, but Y might still fail. Any lawyer will
appreciate this point. As an aside, let me mention that this is one reason why I
appreciate Phillip Johnson's work of weighing neo-Darwinism in the legal balances. A
strict logico-deductive argument will never settle the creation-evolution debate.
I've said that Shapiro ignores the epistemological question of what implications exist
between neo-Darwinism and theology. This is true in that he admits no implication other
than entailment. Nevertheless, without assigning it any epistemological weight, he does
mention a significant implication. Commenting on natural selection Shapiro notes,
Darwin's great intellectual triumph was to provide a mechanism,
natural selection, that could account for . . . the appearance of design
without invoking a Designer. Clearly, the availability of such a mechanism
would gladden the heart of anyone who for whatever reason wished to banish God
from the universe. But it itself could not banish God from the universe. If
the mechanism works, if it is proven valid and sufficient, then it renders God
simply redundant in that context. But that is not to say that it disproves His
existence; it merely makes it a teensy bit less necessary for explanatory
purposes.
I would drop the "teensy bit less necessary" business, and simply admit that if Darwin was
right, then design is unnecessary for explaining the complexity of living systems. This
clearly is an implication. Note that it is not an entailment. Note also that the concerns
raised by this implication are squarely epistemological, not sociological. The implication
states that a certain type of explanation becomes insupportable if neo-Darwinism happens
to be correct, namely, any explanation that explains living systems as the product of
design.
Now I agree wholeheartedly that this implication is correct. Swinburne endorses it as
well. I quoted Swinburne earlier as supporting the fundamental thesis of neo-Darwinism,
viz., that "complex animals and plants can be produced through generation by less complex
animals and plants . . . and simple animals and plants can be produced by natural
processes from inorganic matter." Swinburne makes this claim at the same time he is
advancing an argument from design. How can he do this? By looking to cosmology instead of
biology. Indeed, he admits that Darwin has banished design from biology.
Now Shapiro doesn't think that the implication "if neo-Darwinism is right, then design is
an unnecessary explanatory device" has much riding on it theologically. For Shapiro it is
enough that the existence of God remain secure. As Shapiro has rightly observed, Darwinism
entails nothing about the existence of God. For theology, however, there is more at stake
than simply the existence of God. The nature of this God, his relation to the world, and
his causal powers to affect the world are part and parcel of any theological position.
In terms of the logic of entailment it makes no big difference to the existence of God
whether Darwin was right or wrong. But in terms of the logic of implication it can make a
big difference to a theological position whether Darwin was right. Shapiro's theology is
certainly at peace with Darwin. A strictly pietistic theology can without much difficulty
make peace with Darwin. A deistic theology can readily make peace with Darwin. Only a
theology so obtuse as to insist on biblical inerrancy cannot make peace with Darwin; at
least this is the impression Shapiro leaves.
What are the implications of Darwinism for theology? Shapiro has correctly argued that
Darwinism does not entail any of the isms that contend with religion. Shapiro has also
argued, again correctly, that Darwinism implicates the redundancy of design. Phillip
Johnson (I believe rightly) takes this implication a step further, viz., Darwinism
implicates naturalism. As Johnson puts it,
"Evolution" contradicts "creation" only when it is explicitly or
tacitly defined as fully naturalistic evolution-meaning evolution
that is not directed by any purposeful intelligence.
Once one realizes that natural selection is precisely the vehicle needed to transform a
theory of evolution into a fully naturalistic theory of evolution, the
implication follows at once. Darwinism does implicate naturalism. The less God has to do,
the less reason there is to maintain a theology, the more reason there is to adopt
naturalism. This is not a sociological point. This is an epistemological point about the
nature of explanation-about not postulating entities that are redundant or irrelevant. X
therefore does implicate Y.
In closing this response, I feel it necessary to say a few words in defense of Phillip
Johnson. Shapiro has charged Johnson with "making the same vulgar errors as appear
routinely in the presentations of professional creationists." There is only one error I
can see Shapiro referring to, and that is the error of claiming that Darwinism entails
naturalism (a claim that is false simply because God can always be maintained as a useless
appendage in any world view). That Johnson never claimed such an entailment should have
been obvious to Shapiro, since Johnson as a lawyer is in the business of weighing evidence
subject to uncertainties, and not in the business of entailments involving necessary
connections. Shapiro's charge therefore cannot be supported.
Shapiro's criticism of Johnson, however, fails in a more serious way. Shapiro claims that
Darwinism does not entail naturalism. Johnson claims that Darwinism implicates naturalism.
Both are right. Nevertheless, I would claim that Johnson's concern in writing Darwin
on Trial was not primarily with X entailing or implicating Y, where X is Darwinism
and Y naturalism, but Y implicating X. The reverse implication is really the important
one. Sure, Darwinism gives God less to do and therefore implicates naturalism. But
naturalism in turn needs something like Darwinism to keep it viable.
As Alvin Plantinga puts it, if you accept naturalism, Darwinism is the only game in town.
Plantinga claims an implication from naturalism to Darwinism. Johnson's work properly
speaking is devoted to this implication. As a lawyer concerned with how ideological
agendas-and naturalism is one such agenda-influence the courts, it is only natural for
Johnson to concentrate on this implication. Shapiro has therefore missed the boat twice.
The question was never whether X entails Y. It was always obvious that X implicates Y. The
central question was how Y implicates X, i.e., how naturalism manages to keep Darwinasm
afloat. Indeed, Darwinism needs more than scientific facts to keep it afloat.
NOTE
{1} Richard Swinburne. The Existence of God
(Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1979), p. 135.
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